July 01, 2005 | Graham

Roger, Dr Stone

Another entry for my yet to be constructed database of predictions is climatologist Dr Roger Stone of the University of Southern Queensland and the Queensland Department of Primary Industries.
On the first of June ABC Rural carried these pars:

The prospects for normal winter rainfall and crops have deteriorated, with news today Australia is officially in a borderline El Nino.
The southern oscillation index is in the negative.
Dr Roger Stone, a climatologist with the Queensland Department of Primary Industries, says the outlook is bleak for winter crops.
He says three eastern states have almost no chance of a normal crop, with the outlook worst in New South Wales.
“For the state as a whole, less than 10 per cent chance of getting normal winter crop,” he said.
“This is normal yield, so it doesn’t miss out altogether on getting what we call median yields.
“For most of those shires to the west and south-west of Parkes and Dubbo, stretching down towards the Victorian border, in fact for most of New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia, the chances of getting a normal wheat crop are about 10 per cent to 20 per cent at most.”

Then, on the 30th June, a mere 29 days later, the Courier Mail carried this sentence about the sometimes torrential rain South-East Queensland has been receiving since mid-June:

Climatologist Roger Stone said the rain was likely to continue at least through winter due to a one-in-10-year climate phenomenon.

I was eavesdropping on a conversation between an ABC presenter and a security guard on Wednesday. The presenter was telling the guard that she had trouble believing in global warming forecasts 20 and 40 years into the future because “these people” had trouble working out what the weather was going to be in the next 24 hours.
Wonder what Dr Scott would say to that? Roger, over and out.

Posted by Graham at 3:56 pm | Comments Off on Roger, Dr Stone |
Filed under: Australian Politics

No Comments

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Sorry, the comment form is closed at this time.