With her acceptance on the 7.30 report that her proposed Carbon Pricing Scheme is a tax, Julia Gillard confirmed that she had lied about the issue in the 2010 election, just as much as John Howard lied about the GST in 1996, with one caveat.
The man who opponents loved to call a “liar” took his GST proposal to an election, but Julia will do everything she can to avoid taking her Carbon Tax to one.
Which is why, while strategically challenged Labor barrackers in the blogosphere excuse her deception on the basis of John Howard’s change of policy, Julia never will.
But if I were the opposition I’d be putting the challenge to her. If “Lying John Howard” had the guts to take his proposal to the electorate, and given that she is touting the “toughness” of her carbon position, why won’t she do the same?
It’s a high risk strategy that Gillard is playing. Even more high risk if you give any credence to the Galaxy polling released by the IPA today which shows only 34% of Australians believe that “the world is warming and man’s emissions are to blame”, while 26% believe “the variation in global temperature is just part of the natural cycle of nature”, and 38% believe “there is conflicting evidence and I’m not sure what the truth is”.
Interestingly, while skepticism is strongest amongst older, less well-educated Australians living in regional Australia, the gap between them and younger better educated Australians living in the inner-city has narrowed. Tougher economic times are increasingly convincing the young affluent and fashionable that there are more important issues.
While the survey’s shaded to favour the IPA’s skeptical stance, it does give us hard information that strong belief in the man-made global warming thesis is limited to only around one-third of Australians. This makes the Carbon Tax a weak issue for Labor, particularly as the official and media narratives so strongly favour the man-made global warming story.