June 10, 2010 | Graham

IPCC an unreliable witness

Just came across this fascinating paper http://www.probeinternational.org/UPennCross.pdf by Professor Jason Scott Johnston of University of Pennsylvania .

It takes a forensic look at the IPCC claims and finds them overstated.

“This paper departs from such faith in the climate establishment by comparing the picture of climate science presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and other global warming scientist advocates with the peer-edited scientific literature on climate change. A review of the peer-edited literature reveals a systematic tendency of the climate establishment to engage in a variety of stylized rhetorical techniques that seem to oversell what is actually known about climate change while concealing fundamental uncertainties and open questions regarding many of the key processes involved in climate change. Fundamental open questions include not only the size but the direction of feedback effects that are responsible for the bulk of the temperature increase predicted to result from atmospheric greenhouse gas increases: while climate models all presume that such feedback effects are on balance strongly positive, more and more peer-edited scientific papers seem to suggest that feedback effects may be small or even negative. The cross-examination conducted in this paper reveals many additional areas where the peer-edited literature seems to conflict with the picture painted by establishment climate science…”

Comes to a position closer to the opposition than the government:

“A more balanced and nuanced view of the existing state of climate science supports much more gradual and easily reversible policies regarding greenhouse gas emission reduction, and also urges a redirection in public funding of climate science away from the continued subsidization of refinements of computer models and toward increased spending on the development of standardized observational datasets against which existing climate models can be tested.”

The arguments are not new, but put together with exhaustive documentation. It also puts the lie to the claim that there is nothing to challenge the IPCC in the peer reviewed literature.

All from a lawyer who apparently originally accepted the IPCC report at face value.

Posted by Graham at 12:30 pm | Comments (2) |
Filed under: Environment,Legal


  1. I am under the impression that you are willing to dismiss the work of hundreds of scientists based on a paper written by a lawyer, one Jason Scott Johnston, an Alcoa Fellow in Law and Economics? Alcoa hmmm?

    Lawyers now doing climate who have zero publications on climate science? And you trust this man because he is a lawyer? When did we start trusting lawyers to speak on climate?

    Comment by Blowdryer — July 4, 2010 @ 10:15 am

  2. Yes indeed! It is clearly of a matter to do with “hey I can do that job, I will sell my soul, ’cause it is so long as you GIVE ME THE MONEY HONEY…..

    Comment by JUST ME — July 19, 2010 @ 2:33 am

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